Committee member Bradley Flansbaum, DO, MPH, SFHM, says he expects the amount of funding going to hospitalists to decrease in the coming years as healthcare reform focuses on keeping patients out of the hospital.
"The slice that's going to be dedicated to inpatient medicine in hospitals is going to shrink," says Dr. Flansbaum, a hospitalist at Lenox Hill Hospital in New York City. "From a hospitalist standpoint, I don't think it's kick back, flip open the beer lid, and turn the game on. Things are really going to change."
A report in this month's Health Affairs shows that spending growth in 2013 fell to 3.6%, down from 7.2% annually on average between 1990 and 2008. The decreased rate is attributed to a "sluggish economic recovery, the effects of sequestration, and continued increases in private health insurance cost-sharing requirements," according to the report.
However, the combination of money being pumped into healthcare reform and a growing economy is projected to push up spending by 5.6% this year and 6% annually each year from 2015 to 2023, according to the report. How much of that money will flow into HM depends, in part, on how well the specialty improves patient care and hospital bottom lines, Dr. Flansbaum says. "And teasing out that effect is tough," he says. "Mainly, is it that we're ordering less tests or are the prices going down or neither, and [are] other forces contributing to efficiency gains? Those are very different variables."